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Wednesday, June 27, 2007




Industrial Cellulose Ethanol Close

Last updated: June 27, 2007

June 5, 2007


SAO PAULO (Reuters) - The industrial production of cellulose ethanol at a competitive cost with gasoline, seen by many as the Holy Grail of biofuels production, is as close as two years away, researchers said on Monday.

"In the laboratory, there are no more obstacles to speak of. We've reached viable solutions to the major problems with cellulosic ethanol production," said Elba Bom, bioethanol coordinator for Brazil's Science and Technology Ministry, which allocated 7 million reais ($3.5 million) in financing for the project.

"The question now is putting these solutions into the most efficient industrial models."

A prototype plant could be built in about two years, by which time production costs for cellulose ethanol from leftover sugar cane would have likely fallen even further, she said.

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Helena Chum, senior advisor for the National Renewable Energy Laboratory under the U.S. Department of Energy, said the cost of cellulose ethanol production in the United States was expected to continue to keep falling rapidly -- from $6 a gallon only a few years ago to $2 a gallon around 2008.

"Eventually, by 2012 to 2016, it should fall to $1 per gallon, when output should reach 20 billion gallons," Chum said, adding that 5 billion to 8 billion gallons of that will come from cellulose.

The United States passed Brazil as the world's largest ethanol producer in 2006 and the two countries now account for about 70 percent of world output of the biofuel.

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Source

Bruno and all of you over there, I love you !!!


June 7, 2007


STRATFOR

Global Market Brief: A New Step in the Ethanol Revolution?


June 06, 2007 17

At a Brazilian ethanol conference June 4-5, Brazilian government-funded researchers said they have perfected a method of producing cellulosic ethanol that drastically reduces the cost of processing. At this point, the assertion -- and many other similarly optimistic claims made at the conference -- is unconfirmed. But should it prove true, the world could well be peeking over the horizon at a massive geopolitical, not to mention economic, shift.

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This is why the Brazilian scientists' announcement is so important. They claim the process they have perfected reduces cellulosic ethanol production costs down to the realm of 10 cents to 15 cents per liter (35 cents to 50 cents per gallon). Furthermore, though the biochemical processes for ethanol production vary based on feedstock, they are not fundamentally different. Sugarcane is the easiest crop to turn into ethanol, but corn is only slightly more difficult, so a sugar ethanol breakthrough would be only a few steps ahead of other breakthroughs -- such as making cellulosic ethanol from nonfood crops like switchgrass -- that would democratize the technology globally.

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Roughly 25 percent of all oil demand, and 50 percent of U.S. oil demand, derives explicitly from demand for gasoline. Erase that demand -- which amounts to 10.5 million barrels per day for the United States alone -- and oil prices would plummet. In comparison, the 1997-1998 Asian financial crisis slashed a "mere" 10 percent off of global oil demand, and that sent prices down by 75 percent.

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Source



June 9, 2007

OPEC does not like our biofuels... :-(


6 June 2007

The chief of the Opec oil cartel has warned that investing in biofuels could push oil prices "through the roof", the Financial Times has reported.

Opec secretary general Abdalla El-Badri said moves to use biofuels would make his members consider cutting investment in new oil production, the FT said.

President Bush says the US will cut petrol use by 20% in 10 years, partly through increased use of biofuels.

Opec members control about 40% of the world's oil production.

Mr El-Badri said that while Opec members had so far maintained their investment plans, he added: "If we are unable to see a security of demand... we may revisit investment in the long term."

The warning comes as leaders of the G8 industrialised nations gather for their summit in Germany.

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Source

Why can't we just blah blah ... work all together towards a common goal blah blah .. we are all just simple human beings blah blah .. we need to save our planet blah blah ... and improve our climate blah blah ... to ensure happy future for our children blah blah .. how sad blah blah

*sigh*


June 9, 2007

Vinod Koshla biofuels bet

The US transportation fuel economy
transition to biofuels by 2030

(click to see more)

from My Big Biofuels Bet by Vinod Koshla (October 2006)


June 27, 2007

OPEC is bracing itself for the arrival of biofuels

On Wednesday the president of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries reiterated the main points of the long-term energy outlook released by the organization, namely, OPEC is facing an increasing competition from alternative fuels and non-OPEC oil.


The Wall Street Journal

June 27, 2007
By AYESHA DAYA and ADAM SMALLMAN

ISTANBUL -- . . .

. . . The report concluded that demand for OPEC oil is likely to fall in the coming years as consuming countries increasingly turn to biofuels and other sources of alternative energy and non-OPEC producers boost production.

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On Tuesday, the 12-member producer group said in its annual World Oil Outlook published that demand for OPEC oil is likely to be almost one million barrels a day less in 2010 than 2005 levels, threatening to undercut future investment in OPEC countries. "We welcome greater diversity to the energy mix but the introduction of new fuels will remain modest at best," Mr. Hamli said. "Fossil fuels will continue to provide the bulk of energy supply for years to come."

Source

Needless to say, the introduction of new fuels will depend squarely on the availability of effective and financially viable technologies. The recent surge of the biofuels market is already attracting huge investments into search for second generation technologies. A sudden breakthrough in this area may soon surprise mr. Hamli and his organization and render much of their planning obsolete.


PS

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